What stands out to me in particular: The sellers who were still active a few weeks ago at prices around 80,000 US dollars have practically disappeared. Simply gone. This group has either already sold or withdrawn their orders. And that has consequences. When hardly anyone is willing to sell at current prices, even moderate demand is enough to move the price significantly. The path of least resistance currently points upward – that's just how it is, plainly speaking.
The data also shows: Bitcoin was able to hold on to most of its August gains. No sharp downtrend, but consolidation at a high level. That is a strong sign. In the past, similar phases of low selling pressure often led to a continuation of the uptrend. Few coins on exchanges, rising demand – that can quickly tip upward.
A look at on-chain data makes things clearer. The amount of Bitcoin held on crypto exchanges remains at a multi-year low. Investors are increasingly taking thei
r coins into self-custody. Those who do so signal: I have no intention of selling in the short term. This trend reinforces the already low selling pressure and could serve as a catalyst for the next price movement.
Short-term holders – those who bought their coins less than 155 days ago – are also behaving surprisingly calmly this time. Normally, it is precisely these market participants who tend toward panic selling during price declines. But this time, they are holding their positions or even adding to them. This changed psychology could indicate that the market is increasingly maturing and the investor base is becoming more long-term oriented.
Of course, risks remain. A sudden macroeconomic shock – such as an unexpected interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve or geopolitical tensions – could quickly turn sentiment around. Regulatory developments in key markets such as the US or Europe also remain an uncertainty factor. But as long as the price stays above important support zones, the low selling pressure should prepare the ground for another rise.
The bottom line: The Bitcoin market is currently radiating an unusual calm. The rare low in sell-side risk and the disappearance of sellers at 80,000 US dollars are strong indications that the majority of investors are betting on further rising prices. Whether this is the calm before the storm or the beginning of a sustainable upward movement – that will become clear in the coming weeks. One thing is certain: anyone selling now belongs to the minority.
📰 Read more
→ Bitcoin at $78,000: Macro Shocks Could Set the Direction→ Bitcoin ETFs Lose $167 Million After Record Inflows→ Bitcoin ETFs See Second Consecutive Day of Outflows – All Other Funds Gain